Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | SUU -145 UTA +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +5 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | SUU -1.2 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.8 (-16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -1.1 (+3.9) | 151.8 (-10.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTA -0.6 (+5.6) | 149.5 (-8.5) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -1.2 (+3.8) | 150.2 (-9.2) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -0.5 (+4.5) | 150.3 (-9.3) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | UTA 69 – 63 SUU |
| Feb 14, 2026 | SUU 78 – 73 UTA |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UTA 80 – 61 SUU |
| Jan 4, 2026 | UTA 86 – 77 SUU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | UTA 70 – 68 SUU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 6-10 |
| Home | 8-7 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-11 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#250) | -2.3 (#204) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#246) | -0.94 (#253) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#245) | -1.06 (#242) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#263) | 0.461 (#240) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 31.5% |
Game Analysis
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