Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | GCU -500 SEA +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +7 | 183 | Won |
| Massey | GCU -9.4 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (+41.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -8.7 (-1.7) | 137.6 (+45.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -9.8 (-2.8) | 139.1 (+43.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -9.1 (-2.1) | 141.9 (+41.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -10.4 (-3.4) | 140.5 (+42.5) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2025 | GCU 63 – 60 SEA |
| Jan 31, 2025 | GCU 83 – 74 SEA |
| Mar 16, 2024 | GCU 80 – 72 SEA |
| Jan 21, 2024 | SEA 86 – 79 GCU |
| Mar 9, 2023 | GCU 84 – 79 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GCU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-5 | 23-14 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 11-9 |
| Home | 16-0 | 14-4 |
| Away | 8-3 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.8 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.8 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#66) | 3.2 (#121) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.59 (#14) | 0.26 (#150) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.96 (#20) | 0.84 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#30) | 0.507 (#159) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GCU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 35.6% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.