Space travel's in my blood. "Another Girl, Another Planet" - The Only Ones
Seattle U Redhawks
79 – 84
FINAL Neutral Conference Hercules Tires WAC
Grand Canyon Lopes
Western Athletic Conference · Orleans Arena (Neutral) · March 9, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread GCU -3.0 Away covered
O/U 135.5 Over
Money SEA +122 / GCU -145
Model Predictions
Spread Total SEA win
Actual GCU +5 163 Lost
Massey GCU -1.8 (-3.2) — —
Massey Totals — 135.2 (+27.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 51% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 45% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ GCU -1.4 (-3.6) 138.1 (+24.9) 46% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML GCU -1.4 (-3.6) 137.5 (+25.5) 41% ✓
Baseline ML GCU -1.8 (-3.2) 138.8 (+24.2) 39% ✓
Baseline Plus ML GCU -1.3 (-3.7) 139.0 (+24.0) 46% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 2, 2025 GCU 63 – 60 SEA
Jan 31, 2025 GCU 83 – 74 SEA
Mar 16, 2024 GCU 80 – 72 SEA
Feb 2, 2024 GCU 95 – 88 SEA
Jan 21, 2024 SEA 86 – 79 GCU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SEA GCU
Overall 20-12 24-12
Conference 11-7 11-7
Home 12-2 14-4
Away 7-7 6-5
Neutral 1-3 5-3
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 70.3 72.2
Avg Pts Against 70.0 69.1
Massey 1.5 (#141) 3.3 (#119)
Bradley-Terry 0.75 (#107) 0.70 (#112)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.67 (#124) 0.87 (#111)
RPI 0.539 (#103) 0.537 (#108)
Shooting & Four Factors SEA GCU
FG% 39.4% 44.4%
3PT% 31.0% 35.8%
REB / G 36.9 36.1
OREB / G 11.3 10.5
AST / TO 0.96 0.88
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.3% 51.5%
TOV% 17.0% 18.7%
ORB% 29.9% 31.5%
FT Rate 22.5% 27.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.3% 47.2%
Opp TOV% 17.9% 15.6%
DRB% 73.2% 69.3%
Opp FT Rate 23.2% 22.2%

Game Analysis

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