Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | SEA +122 GCU -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +5 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | GCU -1.8 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.2 (+27.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -1.3 (-3.7) | 139.2 (+23.8) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -0.6 (-4.4) | 140.0 (+23.0) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -0.7 (-4.3) | 139.8 (+23.2) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -0.4 (-4.6) | 138.5 (+24.5) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2025 | GCU 63 – 60 SEA |
| Jan 31, 2025 | GCU 83 – 74 SEA |
| Mar 16, 2024 | GCU 80 – 72 SEA |
| Feb 2, 2024 | GCU 95 – 88 SEA |
| Jan 21, 2024 | SEA 86 – 79 GCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Home | 12-2 | 14-4 |
| Away | 7-7 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#141) | 3.3 (#119) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#107) | 0.70 (#112) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#124) | 0.87 (#111) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#103) | 0.537 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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