Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | GCU -700 SEA +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +9 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | GCU -8.9 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (+11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -8.7 (+0.3) | 140.9 (+16.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -9.5 (-0.5) | 141.6 (+15.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -9.0 (-0.0) | 141.7 (+15.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -8.6 (+0.4) | 141.7 (+15.3) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2025 | GCU 63 – 60 SEA |
| Mar 16, 2024 | GCU 80 – 72 SEA |
| Feb 2, 2024 | GCU 95 – 88 SEA |
| Jan 21, 2024 | SEA 86 – 79 GCU |
| Mar 9, 2023 | GCU 84 – 79 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GCU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 8-8 |
| Home | 16-1 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-4 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 6.1 (#92) | 0.5 (#157) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.12 (#86) | -0.72 (#229) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#93) | -0.53 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#103) | 0.468 (#230) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GCU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 33.2% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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