Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | SEA +188 GCU -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +7 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | GCU -2.7 (+9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (+21.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -2.9 (+9.9) | 142.1 (+22.9) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -3.6 (+10.6) | 141.8 (+23.2) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -3.0 (+10.0) | 142.5 (+22.5) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -2.3 (+9.3) | 142.8 (+22.2) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2025 | GCU 63 – 60 SEA |
| Jan 31, 2025 | GCU 83 – 74 SEA |
| Mar 16, 2024 | GCU 80 – 72 SEA |
| Feb 2, 2024 | GCU 95 – 88 SEA |
| Mar 9, 2023 | GCU 84 – 79 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-14 | 30-5 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 17-3 |
| Home | 14-4 | 16-0 |
| Away | 4-9 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | W4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 77.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 66.8 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#122) | 9.4 (#56) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#180) | 3.05 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#146) | 3.54 (#7) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#198) | 0.610 (#27) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 35.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 33.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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