Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | GCU -250 SEA +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +8 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | GCU -6.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.4 (+12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -5.6 (+2.4) | 137.0 (+15.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -6.5 (+1.5) | 135.6 (+16.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -5.7 (+2.3) | 135.9 (+16.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -5.7 (+2.3) | 138.4 (+13.6) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2025 | GCU 63 – 60 SEA |
| Jan 31, 2025 | GCU 83 – 74 SEA |
| Feb 2, 2024 | GCU 95 – 88 SEA |
| Jan 21, 2024 | SEA 86 – 79 GCU |
| Mar 9, 2023 | GCU 84 – 79 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GCU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-5 | 23-14 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 11-9 |
| Home | 16-0 | 14-4 |
| Away | 8-3 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.8 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.8 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 9.5 (#55) | 3.5 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.10 (#32) | 0.25 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.46 (#38) | 0.58 (#127) |
| RPI | 0.601 (#19) | 0.515 (#141) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GCU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 32.9% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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