Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | SEA -125 GCU +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +3 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | GCU -0.8 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (-20.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -0.1 (-3.1) | 139.2 (-16.2) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -0.4 (-2.6) | 138.7 (-15.7) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -0.5 (-2.5) | 140.3 (-17.3) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -0.1 (-3.1) | 142.0 (-19.0) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2025 | GCU 83 – 74 SEA |
| Mar 16, 2024 | GCU 80 – 72 SEA |
| Feb 2, 2024 | GCU 95 – 88 SEA |
| Jan 21, 2024 | SEA 86 – 79 GCU |
| Mar 9, 2023 | GCU 84 – 79 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 13-3 |
| Home | 9-5 | 16-1 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 77.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#143) | 5.0 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#230) | 1.09 (#84) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#209) | 1.05 (#101) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#230) | 0.544 (#96) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 31.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.