Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | WKU -213 SHSU +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +2 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | WKU -6.3 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.9 (+2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -3.8 (-5.8) | 147.9 (+8.1) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -4.0 (-6.0) | 148.1 (+7.9) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -4.1 (-6.1) | 148.7 (+7.3) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -3.7 (-5.7) | 150.5 (+5.5) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | SHSU 73 – 58 WKU |
| Jan 2, 2026 | WKU 102 – 91 SHSU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SHSU 78 – 62 WKU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | WKU 75 – 66 SHSU |
| Jan 11, 2024 | SHSU 78 – 74 WKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 13-3 |
| Home | 12-2 | 12-2 |
| Away | 6-7 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#161) | -2.4 (#209) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#145) | 0.21 (#153) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#156) | 0.01 (#170) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#148) | 0.518 (#137) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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