Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | WKU -185 SHSU +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +16 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | WKU -6.7 (-22.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.1 (-18.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -4.8 (-20.8) | 155.7 (-15.7) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -5.0 (-21.0) | 152.0 (-12.0) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -5.5 (-21.5) | 154.5 (-14.5) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -5.1 (-21.1) | 155.6 (-15.6) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | SHSU 73 – 58 WKU |
| Jan 2, 2026 | WKU 102 – 91 SHSU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | WKU 75 – 66 SHSU |
| Feb 2, 2024 | SHSU 79 – 77 WKU |
| Jan 11, 2024 | SHSU 78 – 74 WKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-9 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 77.1 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#128) | -1.5 (#189) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#129) | -0.40 (#209) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#141) | -0.26 (#190) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#114) | 0.485 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.0% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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