Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Over |
| Money | UCLA -600 ORST +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +8 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -6.6 (+1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.5 (+6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -7.2 (+0.8) | 132.7 (+1.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -3.6 (+4.4) | 133.0 (+1.0) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -3.9 (+4.1) | 133.4 (+0.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -5.0 (+3.0) | 134.4 (-0.4) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2024 | UCLA 67 – 57 ORST |
| Dec 29, 2023 | UCLA 69 – 62 ORST |
| Feb 10, 2023 | UCLA 62 – 47 ORST |
| Feb 26, 2022 | UCLA 94 – 55 ORST |
| Jan 16, 2022 | UCLA 81 – 65 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 5-15 |
| Home | 9-7 | 12-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#115) | 0.8 (#154) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#158) | 0.64 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#148) | 0.75 (#125) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#177) | 0.517 (#141) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.