Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +16 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -18.2 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (-3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -14.9 (+1.1) | 150.8 (-4.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -15.1 (+0.9) | 150.1 (-4.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -15.2 (+0.8) | 149.6 (-3.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -15.8 (+0.2) | 150.8 (-4.8) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2024 | UCLA 67 – 57 ORST |
| Feb 2, 2024 | UCLA 71 – 63 ORST |
| Dec 29, 2023 | UCLA 69 – 62 ORST |
| Feb 10, 2023 | UCLA 62 – 47 ORST |
| Feb 26, 2022 | UCLA 94 – 55 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 3-28 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 1-19 |
| Home | 14-1 | 3-13 |
| Away | 8-4 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L18 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.5 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 14.4 (#20) | -0.1 (#167) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.71 (#26) | -1.14 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.80 (#19) | -0.77 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.612 (#29) | 0.470 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 40.7 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 13.8% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 77.4% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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