Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 122.5 Under |
| Money | ORST +800 UCLA -1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +15 | 109 | Lost |
| Massey | UCLA -17.1 (+2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.8 (-12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -15.4 (+0.4) | 127.6 (-18.6) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -13.9 (-1.1) | 128.4 (-19.4) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -13.2 (-1.8) | 127.6 (-18.6) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -13.9 (-1.1) | 129.2 (-20.2) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2024 | UCLA 67 – 57 ORST |
| Feb 2, 2024 | UCLA 71 – 63 ORST |
| Dec 29, 2023 | UCLA 69 – 62 ORST |
| Feb 26, 2022 | UCLA 94 – 55 ORST |
| Jan 16, 2022 | UCLA 81 – 65 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 31-6 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 18-2 |
| Home | 10-7 | 17-0 |
| Away | 1-10 | 9-2 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.5 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 60.7 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#209) | 18.8 (#4) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#225) | 2.79 (#12) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#226) | 3.37 (#15) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#274) | 0.639 (#6) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 30.3 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 24.8% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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