Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
| Money | UCLA -275 ORST +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +10 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -3.9 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.5 (-1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -4.6 (+5.4) | 130.6 (-6.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -2.2 (+7.8) | 131.9 (-7.9) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -2.4 (+7.6) | 132.5 (-8.5) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -2.5 (+7.5) | 133.0 (-9.0) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 2, 2024 | UCLA 71 – 63 ORST |
| Dec 29, 2023 | UCLA 69 – 62 ORST |
| Feb 10, 2023 | UCLA 62 – 47 ORST |
| Feb 26, 2022 | UCLA 94 – 55 ORST |
| Jan 16, 2022 | UCLA 81 – 65 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 5-15 |
| Home | 9-7 | 12-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#103) | 1.2 (#152) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#122) | 0.33 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#114) | 0.50 (#136) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#171) | 0.487 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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