Betting Lines
| Spread | PORT -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | PAC +115 PORT -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PORT +5 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | PORT -2.7 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.7 (-26.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PORT -2.5 (-2.5) | 148.4 (-23.4) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PORT -2.9 (-2.1) | 146.8 (-21.8) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PORT -2.3 (-2.7) | 146.9 (-21.9) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PORT -2.2 (-2.8) | 147.8 (-22.8) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | PAC 74 – 51 PORT |
| Jan 9, 2026 | PORT 90 – 89 PAC |
| Feb 23, 2025 | PORT 81 – 73 PAC |
| Jan 17, 2025 | PORT 84 – 81 PAC |
| Jan 7, 2024 | PORT 78 – 64 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PAC | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 0-16 | 5-11 |
| Home | 5-12 | 9-6 |
| Away | 1-13 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L23 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.1 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.4 | 79.5 |
| Massey | -15.6 (#357) | -9.3 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.91 (#329) | -1.25 (#288) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.61 (#333) | -1.35 (#280) |
| RPI | 0.397 (#333) | 0.434 (#292) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PAC | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 26.6 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 18.0% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.8% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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