Betting Lines
| Spread | PAC -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | PAC -355 PORT +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PAC +23 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | PAC -8.7 (+14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (-20.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PAC -7.6 (+15.4) | 142.5 (-17.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PAC -6.9 (+16.1) | 140.1 (-15.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PAC -7.1 (+15.9) | 142.0 (-17.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PAC -7.4 (+15.6) | 144.0 (-19.0) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2026 | PORT 90 – 89 PAC |
| Feb 23, 2025 | PORT 81 – 73 PAC |
| Jan 17, 2025 | PORT 84 – 81 PAC |
| Feb 2, 2024 | PORT 65 – 60 PAC |
| Jan 7, 2024 | PORT 78 – 64 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PAC | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-3 | 12-6 |
| Away | 4-11 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#122) | -2.4 (#202) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#111) | -0.21 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#108) | -0.17 (#180) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#97) | 0.477 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PAC | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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