Betting Lines
| Spread | PORT -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | PORT -170 PAC +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PORT +3 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | PORT -2.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.8 (+14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PORT -0.5 (+2.5) | 147.6 (+17.4) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PORT -1.6 (+1.4) | 146.5 (+18.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PORT -1.8 (+1.2) | 147.3 (+17.7) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PORT -0.2 (+2.8) | 148.7 (+16.3) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | PAC 74 – 51 PORT |
| Jan 9, 2026 | PORT 90 – 89 PAC |
| Feb 23, 2025 | PORT 81 – 73 PAC |
| Feb 2, 2024 | PORT 65 – 60 PAC |
| Jan 7, 2024 | PORT 78 – 64 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 9-24 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 9-7 | 5-10 |
| Away | 3-9 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.2 | 77.2 |
| Massey | -9.5 (#318) | -7.8 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.74 (#315) | -1.87 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.37 (#317) | -2.54 (#326) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#263) | 0.425 (#301) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 21.9% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.0% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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