Betting Lines
| Spread | PORT -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | PORT -600 PAC +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PORT +14 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | PORT -12.6 (+1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PORT -9.0 (+5.0) | 144.8 (-2.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PORT -9.6 (+4.4) | 143.8 (-1.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PORT -9.7 (+4.3) | 143.5 (-1.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PORT -9.6 (+4.4) | 145.9 (-3.9) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | PAC 74 – 51 PORT |
| Jan 9, 2026 | PORT 90 – 89 PAC |
| Feb 23, 2025 | PORT 81 – 73 PAC |
| Jan 17, 2025 | PORT 84 – 81 PAC |
| Feb 2, 2024 | PORT 65 – 60 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 0-16 |
| Home | 9-6 | 5-12 |
| Away | 2-11 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L23 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 64.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 81.4 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#284) | -15.2 (#355) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#260) | -1.70 (#309) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#253) | -2.30 (#313) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#238) | 0.400 (#328) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 27.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 6.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 18.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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