Betting Lines
| Spread | PAC -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | PAC -145 PORT +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PORT +8 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | PAC -5.4 (-13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (+3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PAC -2.0 (-10.0) | 148.7 (+5.3) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PAC -3.3 (-11.3) | 147.4 (+6.6) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PAC -3.5 (-11.5) | 147.9 (+6.1) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PAC -3.5 (-11.5) | 147.9 (+6.1) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | PAC 74 – 51 PORT |
| Jan 9, 2026 | PORT 90 – 89 PAC |
| Jan 17, 2025 | PORT 84 – 81 PAC |
| Feb 2, 2024 | PORT 65 – 60 PAC |
| Jan 7, 2024 | PORT 78 – 64 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PAC | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-24 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 7-11 |
| Home | 5-10 | 9-7 |
| Away | 2-13 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 81.2 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#268) | -8.6 (#304) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.47 (#303) | -0.95 (#260) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.85 (#302) | -1.15 (#259) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#310) | 0.440 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PAC | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 13.1% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 16.4% |
Game Analysis
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