Betting Lines
| Spread | PAC -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | PORT +136 PAC -162 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PORT +1 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | PAC -3.6 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (+35.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PAC -3.9 (+4.9) | 139.3 (+39.7) | 35% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PAC -3.7 (+4.7) | 140.1 (+38.9) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PAC -2.9 (+3.9) | 139.6 (+39.4) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PAC -3.5 (+4.5) | 140.6 (+38.4) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | PAC 74 – 51 PORT |
| Feb 23, 2025 | PORT 81 – 73 PAC |
| Jan 17, 2025 | PORT 84 – 81 PAC |
| Feb 2, 2024 | PORT 65 – 60 PAC |
| Jan 7, 2024 | PORT 78 – 64 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-6 | 11-3 |
| Away | 1-12 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#237) | 3.0 (#123) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#214) | 0.53 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#195) | 0.55 (#137) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#222) | 0.525 (#125) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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