Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | CSUB +120 LBSU -154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUB +6 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | LBSU -1.3 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (+10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LBSU -1.9 (+7.9) | 143.4 (+14.6) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LBSU -0.9 (+6.9) | 141.0 (+17.0) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -0.5 (+6.5) | 142.3 (+15.7) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LBSU -0.5 (+6.5) | 143.9 (+14.1) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | LBSU 88 – 87 CSUB |
| Jan 11, 2026 | LBSU 81 – 75 CSUB |
| Feb 28, 2025 | CSUB 88 – 87 LBSU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | CSUB 80 – 65 LBSU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | LBSU 79 – 66 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-10 |
| Home | 10-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 2-13 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#263) | -0.2 (#168) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#265) | 0.35 (#144) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#262) | 0.30 (#157) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#295) | 0.509 (#155) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.7% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.1% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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