Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUB -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | LBSU +110 CSUB -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUB +1 | 175 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUB -2.3 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (+34.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUB -2.8 (+1.8) | 137.2 (+37.8) | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUB -3.3 (+2.3) | 135.0 (+40.0) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUB -2.8 (+1.8) | 136.5 (+38.5) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUB -2.5 (+1.5) | 136.8 (+38.2) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | LBSU 88 – 87 CSUB |
| Jan 11, 2026 | LBSU 81 – 75 CSUB |
| Jan 5, 2025 | CSUB 80 – 65 LBSU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | LBSU 79 – 66 CSUB |
| Feb 2, 2024 | CSUB 82 – 76 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 8-12 |
| Home | 3-11 | 9-6 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L15 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.9 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -9.4 (#317) | -4.0 (#231) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#322) | -0.61 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#303) | -0.71 (#222) |
| RPI | 0.425 (#320) | 0.445 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 30.3 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 64.2% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 35.3% |
Game Analysis
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