Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUB -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | CSUB -240 LBSU +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUB +15 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | CSUB -9.1 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.1 (+11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUB -5.6 (+9.4) | 134.4 (+10.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUB -5.8 (+9.2) | 132.4 (+12.6) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUB -5.6 (+9.4) | 134.9 (+10.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUB -5.4 (+9.6) | 135.3 (+9.7) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | LBSU 88 – 87 CSUB |
| Jan 11, 2026 | LBSU 81 – 75 CSUB |
| Feb 28, 2025 | CSUB 88 – 87 LBSU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | LBSU 79 – 66 CSUB |
| Feb 2, 2024 | CSUB 82 – 76 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 3-17 |
| Home | 9-6 | 3-11 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L15 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#228) | -8.3 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#224) | -1.26 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#210) | -1.36 (#267) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#231) | 0.440 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 36.0% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 65.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 38.6% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.