Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | LBSU -600 CSUB +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +13 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | LBSU -8.7 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.5 (-3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LBSU -7.7 (+5.3) | 146.3 (-1.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LBSU -8.3 (+4.7) | 145.5 (-0.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LBSU -8.7 (+4.3) | 145.1 (-0.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -7.7 (+5.3) | 146.6 (-1.6) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | LBSU 88 – 87 CSUB |
| Jan 11, 2026 | LBSU 81 – 75 CSUB |
| Feb 28, 2025 | CSUB 88 – 87 LBSU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | CSUB 80 – 65 LBSU |
| Feb 2, 2024 | CSUB 82 – 76 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 8-12 |
| Home | 8-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 9-7 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 70.4 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#159) | -4.9 (#264) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#131) | -1.01 (#272) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#140) | -1.20 (#272) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#144) | 0.429 (#312) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 32.7% |
Game Analysis
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