Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | UTEP -163 JXST +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +8 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | UTEP -1.1 (+6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.9 (+25.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -0.3 (+8.3) | 129.7 (+20.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -1.0 (+7.0) | 131.3 (+18.7) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -0.4 (+7.6) | 131.7 (+18.3) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -0.5 (+7.5) | 130.5 (+19.5) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | JXST 64 – 61 UTEP |
| Feb 12, 2026 | UTEP 69 – 64 JXST |
| Feb 22, 2025 | JXST 73 – 65 UTEP |
| Jan 24, 2025 | JXST 73 – 66 UTEP |
| Mar 1, 2024 | UTEP 72 – 65 JXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 6-10 |
| Home | 13-5 | 8-7 |
| Away | 2-9 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 67.6 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#219) | -0.4 (#171) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#213) | -0.60 (#236) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#217) | -0.12 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#238) | 0.466 (#240) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 33.2% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.7% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.0% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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