I like bread and butter. I like toast and jam. "Bread and Butter" - The Newbeats
Conference USA · Don Haskins Center · March 7, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread JXST -1.5 Away covered
O/U 139.5 Under
Money UTEP -108 / JXST -112
Model Predictions
Spread Total UTEP win
Actual JXST +3 125 Lost
Massey JXST -0.4 (-2.6)
Massey Totals 132.5 (-7.5)
Bradley-Terry 54%
Weighted B-T 52%
Baseline Plus ML JXST -0.0 (-3.0) 137.1 (-12.1) 51%
Model 4 ML JXST -0.2 (-2.8) 136.9 (-11.9) 46%
Model 3 ML JXST -0.2 (-2.8) 134.6 (-9.6) 48%
Baseline ML UTEP -0.0 (-3.0) 135.2 (-10.2) 47%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 12, 2026 UTEP 6964 JXST
Feb 22, 2025 JXST 7365 UTEP
Jan 24, 2025 JXST 7366 UTEP
Mar 1, 2024 UTEP 7265 JXST
Feb 2, 2024 UTEP 7971 JXST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UTEP JXST
Overall 11-20 15-17
Conference 7-13 10-10
Home 9-7 10-7
Away 2-11 5-8
Neutral 0-2 0-2
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 66.4 69.9
Avg Pts Against 72.7 70.6
Massey -5.9 (#261) -2.5 (#208)
Bradley-Terry -1.04 (#259) -0.70 (#236)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.21 (#254) -0.71 (#227)
RPI 0.464 (#257) 0.468 (#251)
Shooting & Four Factors UTEP JXST
FG% 41.4% 42.9%
3PT% 34.1% 35.6%
REB / G 31.7 34.9
OREB / G 9.3 10.4
AST / TO 0.96 1.06
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.3% 49.7%
TOV% 17.3% 16.7%
ORB% 26.5% 30.2%
FT Rate 23.2% 29.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.7% 49.9%
Opp TOV% 17.8% 16.1%
DRB% 67.0% 71.7%
Opp FT Rate 29.8% 28.9%

Game Analysis

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