Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | UTEP -275 JXST +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +7 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | UTEP -4.3 (-11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (-4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -3.2 (-10.2) | 139.9 (-0.9) | 67% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | UTEP -1.6 (-8.6) | 139.3 (-0.3) | 65% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | UTEP -2.8 (-9.8) | 140.7 (-1.7) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -3.5 (-10.5) | 140.5 (-1.5) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | JXST 64 – 61 UTEP |
| Feb 12, 2026 | UTEP 69 – 64 JXST |
| Feb 22, 2025 | JXST 73 – 65 UTEP |
| Mar 1, 2024 | UTEP 72 – 65 JXST |
| Feb 2, 2024 | UTEP 79 – 71 JXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-5 | 12-2 |
| Away | 4-8 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#136) | 0.8 (#153) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.22 (#81) | 0.31 (#145) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#109) | 0.29 (#151) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#75) | 0.532 (#116) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 28.7 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.4% | 11.0% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.8% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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