Betting Lines
| Spread | SFA -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | SFA -275 UVU +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFA +5 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | SFA -7.3 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (+9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SFA -5.2 (-0.2) | 141.4 (+7.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SFA -5.0 (+0.0) | 140.1 (+8.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SFA -5.0 (-0.0) | 141.5 (+7.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFA -5.3 (-0.3) | 144.0 (+5.0) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2024 | UVU 71 – 62 SFA |
| Mar 4, 2023 | UVU 113 – 69 SFA |
| Feb 4, 2022 | SFA 78 – 59 UVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFA | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 5-8 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#134) | -1.3 (#188) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#157) | -0.11 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#138) | -0.11 (#179) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#170) | 0.503 (#166) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFA | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 25.9% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 22.7% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.8% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.2% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.7% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.