Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | UVU -200 SFA +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +9 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -2.8 (+6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -3.8 (+5.2) | 137.5 (-4.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -3.4 (+5.6) | 134.8 (-1.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -3.8 (+5.2) | 134.9 (-1.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -4.2 (+4.8) | 137.4 (-4.4) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 2, 2024 | SFA 77 – 72 UVU |
| Mar 4, 2023 | UVU 113 – 69 SFA |
| Feb 4, 2022 | SFA 78 – 59 UVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | SFA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 10-10 |
| Home | 10-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 5-10 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#168) | 0.2 (#163) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#174) | -0.13 (#182) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#166) | 0.24 (#152) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#163) | 0.484 (#205) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | SFA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 35.2% |
Game Analysis
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