Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | UVU -350 SFA +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +44 | 182 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -7.0 (+37.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (+37.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -5.9 (+38.1) | 146.8 (+35.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -7.0 (+37.0) | 144.6 (+37.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -7.1 (+36.9) | 145.2 (+36.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -7.0 (+37.0) | 144.7 (+37.3) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2024 | UVU 71 – 62 SFA |
| Feb 2, 2024 | SFA 77 – 72 UVU |
| Feb 4, 2022 | SFA 78 – 59 UVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | SFA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-9 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-1 | 12-4 |
| Away | 12-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#86) | 2.9 (#126) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.60 (#55) | 0.46 (#130) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.95 (#57) | 0.49 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#49) | 0.530 (#120) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | SFA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 38.6% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.0% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 24.1% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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