Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | UCSD -700 CSUN +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSD +21 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | UCSD -10.9 (+10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.5 (-3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -9.4 (+11.6) | 145.2 (-0.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -10.8 (+10.2) | 145.3 (-0.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -11.0 (+10.0) | 145.0 (-0.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSD -11.1 (+9.9) | 145.6 (-0.6) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | CSUN 80 – 70 UCSD |
| Feb 1, 2026 | CSUN 81 – 64 UCSD |
| Jan 16, 2026 | CSUN 84 – 79 UCSD |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UCSD 77 – 71 CSUN |
| Jan 26, 2025 | UCSD 79 – 54 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSD | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 9-11 |
| Home | 14-2 | 9-7 |
| Away | 7-7 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 4.7 (#102) | -2.7 (#214) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#135) | -0.08 (#182) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#123) | -0.40 (#205) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#139) | 0.472 (#224) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSD | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 39.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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