Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | CSUN +105 UCSD -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +10 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | UCSD -4.4 (+14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.0 (-3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSD -3.7 (+13.7) | 149.9 (+0.1) | 31% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -3.8 (+13.8) | 147.6 (+2.4) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -3.7 (+13.7) | 145.4 (+4.6) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -3.8 (+13.8) | 146.4 (+3.6) | 32% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | CSUN 81 – 64 UCSD |
| Jan 16, 2026 | CSUN 84 – 79 UCSD |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UCSD 77 – 71 CSUN |
| Jan 26, 2025 | UCSD 79 – 54 CSUN |
| Mar 3, 2024 | UCSD 79 – 69 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 12-3 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.6 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.3 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#189) | 2.9 (#123) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#146) | 0.65 (#112) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#162) | 0.74 (#116) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#136) | 0.536 (#95) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 40.7 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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