Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Over |
| Money | UCSD -360 CSUN +285 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +5 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | UCSD -12.5 (-17.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.6 (+1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSD -12.2 (-17.2) | 155.4 (+7.6) | 86% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -11.7 (-16.7) | 153.4 (+9.6) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -10.6 (-15.6) | 151.3 (+11.7) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -10.8 (-15.8) | 152.3 (+10.7) | 84% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | CSUN 80 – 70 UCSD |
| Feb 1, 2026 | CSUN 81 – 64 UCSD |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UCSD 77 – 71 CSUN |
| Jan 26, 2025 | UCSD 79 – 54 CSUN |
| Mar 3, 2024 | UCSD 79 – 69 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSD | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 10-5 | 12-3 |
| Away | 8-5 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 80.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 81.3 |
| Massey | 5.5 (#101) | -3.5 (#226) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#88) | -0.09 (#180) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#88) | -0.34 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#78) | 0.493 (#186) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSD | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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