Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | CSUN +110 UCSD -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +17 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | UCSD -3.8 (+20.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.9 (-13.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -2.1 (+19.1) | 149.0 (-4.0) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -2.1 (+19.1) | 148.1 (-3.1) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -2.5 (+19.5) | 148.6 (-3.6) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSD -2.6 (+19.6) | 150.4 (-5.4) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | CSUN 80 – 70 UCSD |
| Jan 16, 2026 | CSUN 84 – 79 UCSD |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UCSD 77 – 71 CSUN |
| Jan 26, 2025 | UCSD 79 – 54 CSUN |
| Mar 3, 2024 | UCSD 79 – 69 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 12-3 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.6 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.3 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#211) | 3.8 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#181) | 0.52 (#116) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#195) | 0.76 (#110) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#172) | 0.529 (#118) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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