Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | UCSD -700 CSUN +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSD +25 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | UCSD -9.9 (+15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.2 (-19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -9.5 (+15.5) | 148.3 (-15.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -9.9 (+15.1) | 147.6 (-14.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -9.7 (+15.3) | 148.6 (-15.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSD -10.4 (+14.6) | 149.8 (-16.8) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | CSUN 80 – 70 UCSD |
| Feb 1, 2026 | CSUN 81 – 64 UCSD |
| Jan 16, 2026 | CSUN 84 – 79 UCSD |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UCSD 77 – 71 CSUN |
| Mar 3, 2024 | UCSD 79 – 69 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSD | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-5 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 14-6 |
| Home | 13-2 | 10-3 |
| Away | 12-2 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.5 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.0 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 10.3 (#60) | 3.8 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.69 (#60) | 0.54 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#80) | 0.61 (#131) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#73) | 0.505 (#176) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSD | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.0% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 76.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 38.2% |
Game Analysis
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