Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | CSUN +200 UCSD -240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSD +6 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | UCSD -5.7 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.0 (-1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSD -3.9 (-2.1) | 143.5 (+4.5) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -3.3 (-2.7) | 142.9 (+5.1) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -3.8 (-2.2) | 144.8 (+3.2) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -2.6 (-3.4) | 145.4 (+2.6) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | CSUN 80 – 70 UCSD |
| Feb 1, 2026 | CSUN 81 – 64 UCSD |
| Jan 16, 2026 | CSUN 84 – 79 UCSD |
| Jan 26, 2025 | UCSD 79 – 54 CSUN |
| Mar 3, 2024 | UCSD 79 – 69 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 30-5 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 18-2 |
| Home | 10-3 | 13-2 |
| Away | 10-7 | 12-2 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.5 | 77.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 63.0 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#104) | 13.0 (#44) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#81) | 2.26 (#40) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#94) | 2.39 (#52) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#110) | 0.577 (#50) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 13.8% |
| ORB% | 35.9% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 23.4% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.9% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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