Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | CSUN +188 UCSD -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSD +10 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | UCSD -4.1 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (-1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSD -3.5 (-6.5) | 145.2 (+2.8) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -3.2 (-6.8) | 144.8 (+3.2) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -2.6 (-7.4) | 145.9 (+2.1) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -3.0 (-7.0) | 145.6 (+2.4) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | CSUN 80 – 70 UCSD |
| Feb 1, 2026 | CSUN 81 – 64 UCSD |
| Jan 16, 2026 | CSUN 84 – 79 UCSD |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UCSD 77 – 71 CSUN |
| Jan 26, 2025 | UCSD 79 – 54 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 15-5 |
| Home | 9-7 | 14-2 |
| Away | 9-7 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#226) | 4.0 (#112) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#178) | 0.46 (#129) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#193) | 0.57 (#132) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#240) | 0.523 (#133) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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