Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | MRSH -450 ODU +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ODU +7 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | MRSH -7.4 (-14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (+8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -7.5 (-14.5) | 151.9 (+7.1) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -5.3 (-12.3) | 148.4 (+10.6) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -5.2 (-12.2) | 149.2 (+9.8) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -5.7 (-12.7) | 152.1 (+6.9) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | MRSH 97 – 88 ODU |
| Feb 12, 2026 | MRSH 81 – 79 ODU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | MRSH 83 – 66 ODU |
| Feb 20, 2025 | MRSH 81 – 77 ODU |
| Jan 19, 2024 | ODU 91 – 66 MRSH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRSH | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 3-15 |
| Home | 8-7 | 5-10 |
| Away | 3-9 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#223) | -6.8 (#287) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#203) | -1.83 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#197) | -1.94 (#311) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#192) | 0.396 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRSH | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
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