I've never done bad things. "Ashes to Ashes" - David Bowie
Sun Belt Conference · Chartway Arena · January 19, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread ODU -1.5 Home covered
O/U 157.5 Under
Money ODU -110 / MRSH +110
Model Predictions
Spread Total ODU win
Actual ODU +25 157 Won
Massey ODU -0.6 (+24.4)
Massey Totals 152.0 (+5.0)
Bradley-Terry 41%
Weighted B-T 37%
Efficiency Plus ML MRSH -0.2 (+25.2) 150.5 (+6.5) 44%
Baseline Tuned ML MRSH -0.3 (+25.3) 147.2 (+9.8) 48%
Baseline ML MRSH -0.2 (+25.2) 148.8 (+8.2) 48%
Baseline Plus ML MRSH -0.1 (+25.1) 152.2 (+4.8) 48%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 25, 2026 MRSH 9788 ODU
Feb 12, 2026 MRSH 8179 ODU
Feb 26, 2025 MRSH 8366 ODU
Feb 20, 2025 MRSH 8177 ODU
Feb 2, 2024 ODU 8376 MRSH

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ODU MRSH
Overall 7-25 13-20
Conference 3-15 7-11
Home 5-10 8-7
Away 1-12 3-9
Neutral 1-3 2-4
Last 5 0-5 4-1
Streak L3 L1
Avg Pts For 70.9 72.9
Avg Pts Against 77.6 76.9
Massey -6.0 (#274) -2.8 (#226)
Bradley-Terry -1.37 (#294) -0.29 (#208)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.55 (#291) -0.25 (#202)
RPI 0.425 (#300) 0.482 (#205)
Shooting & Four Factors ODU MRSH
FG% 42.5% 41.6%
3PT% 30.7% 31.7%
REB / G 34.0 39.8
OREB / G 10.2 12.1
AST / TO 0.92 1.24
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.7% 47.7%
TOV% 14.9% 16.9%
ORB% 26.3% 30.5%
FT Rate 16.6% 23.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.5% 50.0%
Opp TOV% 18.2% 16.9%
DRB% 68.5% 71.3%
Opp FT Rate 27.7% 21.1%

Game Analysis

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