But anyone who ever had heart, they wouldn't turn around and break it. "Sweet Jane" - Lou Reed
Sun Belt Conference · Chartway Arena · February 20, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread MRSH -4.5 Home covered
O/U 147.5 Over
Money ODU +160 / MRSH -190
Model Predictions
Spread Total ODU win
Actual MRSH +4 158 Lost
Massey MRSH -4.1 (+0.1) — —
Massey Totals — 144.6 (+13.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 45% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 44% ✓
Baseline Plus ML MRSH -2.3 (-1.7) 145.7 (+12.3) 39% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MRSH -3.2 (-0.8) 144.9 (+13.1) 34% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML MRSH -2.9 (-1.1) 143.7 (+14.3) 39% ✓
Baseline ML MRSH -3.0 (-1.0) 144.4 (+13.6) 40% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 25, 2026 MRSH 97 – 88 ODU
Feb 12, 2026 MRSH 81 – 79 ODU
Feb 26, 2025 MRSH 83 – 66 ODU
Feb 2, 2024 ODU 83 – 76 MRSH
Jan 19, 2024 ODU 91 – 66 MRSH

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ODU MRSH
Overall 15-20 20-13
Conference 8-10 12-6
Home 7-9 14-3
Away 5-7 5-9
Neutral 3-4 1-1
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 67.4 74.7
Avg Pts Against 72.8 72.5
Massey -9.4 (#316) -2.1 (#195)
Bradley-Terry -1.14 (#280) -0.36 (#205)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.42 (#278) -0.53 (#208)
RPI 0.439 (#299) 0.493 (#188)
Shooting & Four Factors ODU MRSH
FG% 39.7% 43.0%
3PT% 27.5% 31.3%
REB / G 38.0 36.7
OREB / G 14.3 12.3
AST / TO 0.90 1.14
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.5% 49.4%
TOV% 17.4% 16.8%
ORB% 36.3% 32.5%
FT Rate 22.2% 24.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.8% 50.2%
Opp TOV% 15.4% 17.3%
DRB% 68.2% 70.6%
Opp FT Rate 24.9% 28.7%

Game Analysis

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