Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | ODU +160 MRSH -190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +4 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | MRSH -4.1 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (+13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -3.2 (-0.8) | 144.9 (+13.1) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -2.9 (-1.1) | 143.7 (+14.3) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -3.0 (-1.0) | 144.4 (+13.6) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -2.3 (-1.7) | 145.7 (+12.3) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | MRSH 97 – 88 ODU |
| Feb 12, 2026 | MRSH 81 – 79 ODU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | MRSH 83 – 66 ODU |
| Feb 2, 2024 | ODU 83 – 76 MRSH |
| Jan 19, 2024 | ODU 91 – 66 MRSH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-20 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 7-9 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-7 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -9.4 (#316) | -2.1 (#195) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#280) | -0.36 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#278) | -0.53 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#299) | 0.493 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 27.5% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 14.3 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.5% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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