Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Over |
| Money | MRSH -375 ODU +295 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +9 | 185 | Won |
| Massey | MRSH -7.6 (+1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.7 (+26.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -6.7 (+2.3) | 154.7 (+30.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -7.1 (+1.9) | 153.9 (+31.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -6.3 (+2.7) | 152.1 (+32.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -5.8 (+3.2) | 153.8 (+31.2) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | MRSH 81 – 79 ODU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | MRSH 83 – 66 ODU |
| Feb 20, 2025 | MRSH 81 – 77 ODU |
| Feb 2, 2024 | ODU 83 – 76 MRSH |
| Jan 19, 2024 | ODU 91 – 66 MRSH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRSH | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 13-4 | 7-6 |
| Away | 6-8 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.9 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#169) | -5.0 (#246) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#124) | -1.01 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#160) | -1.28 (#259) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#73) | 0.463 (#253) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRSH | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 30.7% |
Game Analysis
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