Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | MRSH -600 ODU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +17 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | MRSH -11.1 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (+4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -9.8 (+7.2) | 147.3 (+1.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -8.4 (+8.6) | 148.0 (+1.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -10.1 (+6.9) | 145.5 (+3.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -9.7 (+7.3) | 146.6 (+2.4) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | MRSH 97 – 88 ODU |
| Feb 12, 2026 | MRSH 81 – 79 ODU |
| Feb 20, 2025 | MRSH 81 – 77 ODU |
| Feb 2, 2024 | ODU 83 – 76 MRSH |
| Jan 19, 2024 | ODU 91 – 66 MRSH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRSH | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 15-20 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-3 | 7-9 |
| Away | 5-9 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 72.8 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#189) | -9.5 (#320) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#183) | -1.35 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#189) | -1.61 (#287) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#171) | 0.431 (#308) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRSH | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 14.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 36.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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