Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | ODU +136 MRSH -162 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +2 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | MRSH -3.4 (+1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (+5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -4.5 (+2.5) | 152.8 (+7.2) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -4.2 (+2.2) | 148.2 (+11.8) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -3.7 (+1.7) | 150.1 (+9.9) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -3.8 (+1.8) | 151.1 (+8.9) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | MRSH 97 – 88 ODU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | MRSH 83 – 66 ODU |
| Feb 20, 2025 | MRSH 81 – 77 ODU |
| Feb 2, 2024 | ODU 83 – 76 MRSH |
| Jan 19, 2024 | ODU 91 – 66 MRSH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 11-7 |
| Home | 7-6 | 13-4 |
| Away | 4-14 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 80.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 78.9 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#258) | 0.6 (#154) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#262) | 0.41 (#129) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#273) | 0.30 (#140) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#238) | 0.548 (#82) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.3% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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