Virgil Cain is my name and I served on the Danville train. "The Night They Drove Old Dixie Down"-The Band
Sun Belt Conference · Chartway Arena · February 12, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread MRSH -3.5 Home covered
O/U 155.5 Over
Money ODU +136 / MRSH -162
Model Predictions
Spread Total ODU win
Actual MRSH +2 160 Lost
Massey MRSH -3.4 (+1.4) — —
Massey Totals — 154.6 (+5.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 28% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 23% ✓
Baseline Plus ML MRSH -3.8 (+1.8) 151.1 (+8.9) 41% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MRSH -4.5 (+2.5) 152.8 (+7.2) 35% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML MRSH -4.2 (+2.2) 148.2 (+11.8) 34% ✓
Baseline ML MRSH -3.7 (+1.7) 150.1 (+9.9) 35% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 25, 2026 MRSH 97 – 88 ODU
Feb 26, 2025 MRSH 83 – 66 ODU
Feb 20, 2025 MRSH 81 – 77 ODU
Feb 2, 2024 ODU 83 – 76 MRSH
Jan 19, 2024 ODU 91 – 66 MRSH

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ODU MRSH
Overall 12-21 19-13
Conference 7-11 11-7
Home 7-6 13-4
Away 4-14 6-8
Neutral 1-1 0-1
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 75.7 80.5
Avg Pts Against 78.7 78.9
Massey -5.8 (#258) 0.6 (#154)
Bradley-Terry -1.07 (#262) 0.41 (#129)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.48 (#273) 0.30 (#140)
RPI 0.469 (#238) 0.548 (#82)
Shooting & Four Factors ODU MRSH
FG% 42.4% 45.7%
3PT% 34.1% 36.3%
REB / G 34.7 37.9
OREB / G 9.6 12.0
AST / TO 1.13 1.33
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.8% 53.8%
TOV% 15.4% 17.6%
ORB% 25.6% 33.7%
FT Rate 24.2% 21.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.6% 48.6%
Opp TOV% 14.6% 17.0%
DRB% 69.6% 66.7%
Opp FT Rate 31.3% 29.3%

Game Analysis

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