Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | UNCO -400 IDST +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +5 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | UNCO -8.8 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.3 (+22.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -7.3 (-2.3) | 144.4 (+32.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -7.1 (-2.1) | 147.4 (+29.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -7.2 (-2.2) | 148.8 (+28.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -7.7 (-2.7) | 148.3 (+28.7) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UNCO 69 – 61 IDST |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UNCO 85 – 72 IDST |
| Feb 4, 2025 | UNCO 86 – 72 IDST |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UNCO 93 – 92 IDST |
| Mar 11, 2024 | IDST 83 – 76 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 14-20 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-3 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.0 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#176) | -5.7 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#155) | -1.17 (#285) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#162) | -1.20 (#267) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#154) | 0.424 (#306) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.0% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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