Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | OAK -400 RMU +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +15 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | OAK -10.9 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.9 (+6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -7.0 (+8.0) | 149.4 (+9.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -9.8 (+5.2) | 150.4 (+8.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -9.9 (+5.1) | 150.4 (+8.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -9.7 (+5.3) | 150.0 (+9.0) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | RMU 93 – 69 OAK |
| Jan 4, 2026 | OAK 96 – 73 RMU |
| Mar 10, 2025 | RMU 79 – 76 OAK |
| Jan 25, 2025 | RMU 73 – 71 OAK |
| Jan 4, 2025 | RMU 79 – 71 OAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 6-14 |
| Home | 10-3 | 7-9 |
| Away | 9-7 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#136) | -5.3 (#268) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#118) | -1.56 (#312) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#133) | -2.04 (#317) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#80) | 0.433 (#296) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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