Betting Lines
| Spread | PFW -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Under |
| Money | PFW -150 MILW +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PFW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +3 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | PFW -9.5 (-12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.0 (-33.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PFW -7.8 (-10.8) | 158.4 (-25.4) | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PFW -5.9 (-8.9) | 160.7 (-27.7) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PFW -7.9 (-10.9) | 159.4 (-26.4) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PFW -7.2 (-10.2) | 158.8 (-25.8) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | PFW 100 – 82 MILW |
| Dec 30, 2025 | MILW 77 – 55 PFW |
| Feb 2, 2025 | PFW 81 – 79 MILW |
| Jan 9, 2025 | PFW 78 – 73 MILW |
| Feb 25, 2024 | MILW 96 – 88 PFW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PFW | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 12-8 |
| Home | 11-5 | 12-4 |
| Away | 10-8 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.3 | 79.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 79.5 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#149) | -4.7 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.00 (#177) | -0.67 (#242) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#168) | -1.20 (#266) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#204) | 0.471 (#226) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PFW | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 22.3% | 36.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.5% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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