Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FDU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FDU +7 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | FDU -8.1 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.2 (+1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FDU -5.4 (+1.6) | 150.4 (+6.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FDU -6.8 (+0.2) | 151.5 (+5.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FDU -5.4 (+1.6) | 148.5 (+8.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FDU -6.0 (+1.0) | 150.5 (+6.5) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LIU 74 – 60 FDU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | LIU 66 – 59 FDU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | LIU 74 – 55 FDU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LIU 62 – 58 FDU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | FDU 84 – 82 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FDU | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 7-22 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 6-10 |
| Home | 7-7 | 5-4 |
| Away | 8-9 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.4 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -11.0 (#328) | -15.6 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.58 (#314) | -2.28 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.26 (#324) | -2.92 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#311) | 0.380 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FDU | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.