Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | LIU -150 FDU +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +4 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | LIU -2.9 (+1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (-19.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -0.4 (+3.6) | 135.8 (-15.8) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIU -2.4 (+1.6) | 135.8 (-15.8) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -1.0 (+3.0) | 134.0 (-14.0) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -1.6 (+2.4) | 134.1 (-14.1) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LIU 74 – 60 FDU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | LIU 66 – 59 FDU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | LIU 74 – 55 FDU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | FDU 84 – 82 LIU |
| Feb 2, 2024 | FDU 82 – 75 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 8-8 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-9 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.5 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#304) | -8.6 (#299) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#299) | -1.51 (#304) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.90 (#303) | -1.90 (#304) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#280) | 0.438 (#292) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.7% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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