Betting Lines
| Spread | FDU -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | FDU -110 LIU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FDU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +19 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | FDU -2.8 (-21.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (-8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FDU -0.8 (-19.8) | 135.5 (-6.5) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FDU -1.3 (-20.3) | 134.3 (-5.3) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FDU -1.8 (-20.8) | 135.7 (-6.7) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FDU -1.4 (-20.4) | 135.1 (-6.1) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LIU 74 – 60 FDU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | LIU 66 – 59 FDU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LIU 62 – 58 FDU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | FDU 84 – 82 LIU |
| Feb 2, 2024 | FDU 82 – 75 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FDU | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 12-4 |
| Home | 9-5 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-15 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 65.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 66.5 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#307) | -8.2 (#298) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.68 (#319) | -1.28 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.05 (#312) | -1.71 (#291) |
| RPI | 0.432 (#307) | 0.457 (#265) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FDU | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 33.2% |
Game Analysis
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