Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | FDU +275 LIU -345 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FDU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +7 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | LIU -7.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (-24.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -7.2 (+0.2) | 139.2 (-14.2) | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIU -6.1 (-0.9) | 138.3 (-13.3) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -6.9 (-0.1) | 138.8 (-13.8) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -6.6 (-0.4) | 138.9 (-13.9) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LIU 74 – 60 FDU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | LIU 74 – 55 FDU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LIU 62 – 58 FDU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | FDU 84 – 82 LIU |
| Feb 2, 2024 | FDU 82 – 75 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FDU | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 15-3 |
| Home | 8-6 | 14-1 |
| Away | 3-15 | 10-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.1 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -13.4 (#342) | -2.5 (#201) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.07 (#354) | 0.00 (#175) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.86 (#352) | -0.09 (#175) |
| RPI | 0.363 (#355) | 0.503 (#168) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FDU | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.3% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 37.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.1% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.