Betting Lines
| Spread | FDU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | LIU +130 FDU -160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FDU +2 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | LIU -0.2 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (+11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FDU -0.2 (-1.8) | 153.4 (+12.6) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FDU -1.2 (-0.8) | 150.1 (+15.9) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -0.1 (-2.1) | 148.0 (+18.0) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -0.1 (-2.1) | 150.3 (+15.7) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LIU 74 – 60 FDU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | LIU 66 – 59 FDU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | LIU 74 – 55 FDU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LIU 62 – 58 FDU |
| Feb 2, 2024 | FDU 82 – 75 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-22 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 9-7 |
| Home | 5-4 | 7-7 |
| Away | 1-17 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 78.4 |
| Massey | -14.4 (#349) | -11.2 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.14 (#339) | -1.69 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.69 (#340) | -2.33 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.395 (#337) | 0.414 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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